The Bank of Canada lowered interest rates on  the Canadian dollar by 50 basis points for January. The Canadian interest rate  now stands at a very low 1 percent. This is the lowest level for interest rates  in Canada since 1934.
Canada has been experiencing a lot of trouble with  exports and general economic conditions in the country deteriorating. I have no  doubt that within two months they will have an interest rate of 25 basis points  or lower. Interest rates hitting zero is just a reality now for countries around  the globe. The rabbit hole goes so deep, that no one really knows where it ends.  Central banks are just reacting during each meeting with a look at trends and  facing the reality that they don’t know where the end of the line  is.
Numerous politicians in the US have said this is a crisis on confidence,  and while most of us might laugh at that, it is true to an extent. I wouldn’t  say that we are in a “mental recession”, however, how it this has been  approached has a lot to do with the spreading crisis. As businesses and people  get nervous and stop spending, the cycle just starts over. Governments are  paranoid because there really isn’t a way to communicate with people without  committing political suicide.
Most of the governments around the world have  been slow to react as the global economy turned down, and they have reacted  rashly and without enough thought when they finally did act.
The world is to  the point where the officials that are responsible for economic policy have to  stop playing shell games. They need to just admit that there are problems with  the system and that some real purging must be done. It is inevitable. The truth  is that all these central banks should have done 3 or 4 percent rate cuts a few  months ago, and given the system a real shock that was fast and hard instead of  waiting to see how bad the damage was going to be. Generally, I don’t support  actions like that, I think it is smarter to be more cautious. However, we are  facing the implosion of some very dangerous games that have taken place  throughout the global economy. It is all interconnected more than ever, so  everyone is affected. It’s not that anything like this has never happened  before, it’s just that this is the biggest.
The global reality is interest  rates have to be at almost zero before any type of recovery is going to be seen.  Interest rates are not the only key, but they are an important part of the  equation. 
Monday, February 23, 2009
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